Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007427 0.008686 0.010184 0.012125 0.014615 0.017757 0.022120
2025-06-29 0.005787 0.007287 0.009276 0.012197 0.016549 0.023111 0.034477
2025-07-06 0.004994 0.006611 0.008920 0.012637 0.018869 0.029802 0.053177
2025-07-13 0.004563 0.006292 0.008921 0.013508 0.022086 0.039595 0.086963
2025-07-20 0.004153 0.005909 0.008712 0.013932 0.024641 0.049739 0.136211
2025-07-27 0.003771 0.005496 0.008358 0.013976 0.026444 0.059525 0.205248
2025-08-03 0.003469 0.005166 0.008076 0.014068 0.028387 0.071420 0.322296
2025-08-10 0.003152 0.004765 0.007600 0.013647 0.028931 0.079686 0.462061
2025-08-17 0.002843 0.004343 0.007024 0.012888 0.028322 0.083583 0.600905
2025-08-24 0.002596 0.004004 0.006562 0.012288 0.027960 0.088459 0.810314
2025-08-31 0.002474 0.003874 0.006481 0.012539 0.030211 0.107826 1.627566
2025-09-07 0.002316 0.003663 0.006214 0.012295 0.030842 0.120441 2.893943
2025-09-14 0.002114 0.003368 0.005772 0.011613 0.030050 0.126140 4.790139
2025-09-21 0.001999 0.003227 0.005634 0.011690 0.032049 0.155186 21.591853
2025-09-28 0.001924 0.003154 0.005627 0.012106 0.035639 0.209024 12632.793284
2025-10-05 0.001885 0.003144 0.005752 0.012926 0.041608 0.319720 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001818 0.003073 0.005731 0.013324 0.046131 0.455352 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001736 0.002962 0.005603 0.013367 0.048998 0.602642 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001663 0.002865 0.005497 0.013453 0.052306 0.828645 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001571 0.002720 0.005259 0.013057 0.052499 0.974641 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001470 0.002550 0.004944 0.012342 0.050273 0.995499 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001384 0.002407 0.004684 0.011776 0.048785 1.053703 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001345 0.002360 0.004657 0.012013 0.053021 1.640819 NaN